Too Many Cooks in the kitchen

Corona Del Mar, CA

Howdy Friend!

I mentioned the other day that I've been using X to put my finger on the pulse of politics and markets.

For now anyway…X is also compromised by foreign intelligence assets like AU10TIX, DV, and Cheq.

Anyhoo…

There are three big themes that traders are talking about:

– Michael Burry is betting against AI stocks.

– A series of “Hindenburg Omens” over the past week.

– Sidney Sweeney.

First of all, Michael Burry clearly has a long-term trading horizon. We all remember he was wrong for a few years about his Big Short thesis.

Second…you know that $1 billion bet against AI? He's actually betting (notionally via puts) $912 million against Palantir (PLTR).

You see how there's nuance to his “bet against AI”?

The CEO of Palantir, Alex Karp, seems at odds with himself. How can he be both a self-proclaimed neo-Marxist progressive and anti-woke?

Would I trust that guy? Not a chance.

Would I trade Palantir (PLTR)? Absolutely.

In fact, I was able to build one heck of a strategy on PLTR using Portfolio Boss and Dark Pool data.

It shows a 208% annual return. Notice how it trades very very quickly:

It actually sold out this morning, but I'm sure it'll be back in soon enough. The average trade only lasts 2.6 days, and the strategy did just fine when PLTR collapsed 84% in 2022.

So should you care how Michael Burry is positioned?

NO!

It's a case of too many cooks in the kitchen. I just stick to the trading strategies and ignore the constant fear mongering in the news.

Remember their mantra: If it bleeds it leads.

It's the same thing with the Hindenburg Omen.

Those signals are just noise up until you see a cluster of them.

There have been 217 of them in 60 years.

So again, too many cooks in the kitchen…this is pure noise for a trader.

I'll leave you with one more thought…

…there seems to be this anti-prosperity mob that is dead-set that AI is all smoke and mirrors. It's a giant bubble they say.

They also say if it wasn't for a handful of stocks, the market would be down right now.

Don't listen to them. The equal weight S&P 500 also hit new highs so they're full of hot air. Take a look:

By the way, our crazy Alpha Manhattan Project is still going strong — computers have been running 24/7 for two weeks building strategies.

We have one completed test (of four that are running in parallel).

Quick recap: We're running the AI across all US stocks with a market cap > $5 billion. There's about 400 of them.

We have four distinct edges for creating trading strategies: Price indicators (old school), self-programming C code, ETF mispricing, and Dark Pool short volume.

The idea is simple: Discover the best strategies in the world and then trade 'em. (Well, there's another step with Matrix math, but I don't want to bore you).

We already got to 98.7% winning months…this is the finishing touch to my FINAL project — the Outlier Method.

If you're trading with more than $100k, then this could be a perfect fit.

Get on the early bird and first look list here >>


Portfolio Boss Strategy Performance:
Through 11/5/2025

Entry level: All-weather Alpha is at -0.4% for November, and 36.5% for the year.

Mid-tier: Easy Ai 10 position Meta is up -0.2% this month, and 22.5% for the year.
Join wait-list


High end (6-figure+ accounts): Outlier Method is up 0.5% this month, and 26.0% for the year. Historical tests show a 98.7% monthly win rate (without optimization) which wildly exceeded my expectations.

Join the wait-list here: https://portfolioboss.com/op/outlier-method/


These are back tested numbers. Factor in about 0.1-0.2% per month for commission and slippage if you're trading with IB's BasketTrader (built into Portfolio Boss so you can place trades with a few clicks).

Portfolio Boss allows you to automatically take advantage of IB's money-saving algos like accumulation/distribution, opening auction participation, and REL orders so you trade more like a market maker instead of a market taker.

 

Trade smart,

Dan “Prince of Proof” Murphy




Government required disclaimer: The results listed herein are based on hypothetical trades. Plainly speaking, these trades were not actually executed. Hypothetical or simulated performance results have certain inherent limitations. Unlike an actual performance record, simulated results do not represent actual trading. Also, since the trades have not actually been executed, the results may have under (or over) compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors such as lack of liquidity. You may have done better or worse than the results portrayed.

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